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Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Mavericks/Thunder OVER 218

The Key: It took a miracle to keep Game 1 under the total.  The Mavericks pulled their starters with 5 minutes left of a blowout loss and scoring died after it was on pace to get over the 218-point total.  The Mavericks scored just 16 points in the 4th and it finished with 212 combined points.  Game 2 should be much more competitive and higher scoring.  The Mavericks and Thunder have combined for at least 221 points in 8 of their last 9 matchups.  Take the OVER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have been underrated for three straight seasons and aren't commanding the respect that a No. 1 seed deserves.  They have delivered four straight blowout victories in these playoffs including three by 21 points or more.  They beat the Mavericks 117-95 in Game 1.  Luka Doncic is battling a knee injury and is going through his worst stretch of the season shooting wise.  He is clearly nowhere near 100%.  The Mavericks are also without Maxi Kleber, their big man that does such a good job of spacing the floor for them.  They are much easier to guard without Kleber, and the Thunder have the length defensively to give the Mavericks a lot of trouble.  They have held seven of their last eight opponents to 95 points or fewer.  Give me the Thunder.

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This is a free play on Under.

Dallas scored just 95 points on 39 percent shooting in Game 1. It should come as no surprise, as Oklahoma City has held seven of their last eight opponents to fewer than 100 points, and opponents have averaged less than 92 points during that span. Oklahoma City made over 46 percent of their three-point attempts in Game 1, and we might expect some regression. The total for tonight's game his higher than it was in Game 1, and I think we will see another low score.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Ricky's 1* play on OKC.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Mavs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Oklahoma City.

- The Mavs are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Oklahoma City. 

- The Thunder are 10-0 SU in their last 10 and 8-0 SU in their last 8 at home. 

Verdict: The value lies with the home favorite.