Guaranteed Cappers

Ricky's 1* play on OKC.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Mavs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Oklahoma City.

- The Mavs are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Oklahoma City. 

- The Thunder are 10-0 SU in their last 10 and 8-0 SU in their last 8 at home. 

Verdict: The value lies with the home favorite. 

7* MLB Cardinals/Brewers Free Pick

PLAY ON: Cardinals -125

I'm betting the Cardinals -125 on the money line in Thursday's series opener at the Brewers. Easy play for me on St Louis at this price with ace Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has been one of the best starters in baseball to start the 2024 season. He's 4-1 with a 0.89 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 5 starts. He's also got a strong track record vs Milwaukee, posting a 2.82 ERA in 14 career starts. Brewers will counter with Tobias Myers, who has a 6.23 ERA and 1.308 WHIP in 3 starts. Last two times out, Myers has surrendered 8 runs on 8 hits (4 HRs) in just 8 innings of work. Give me the Cardinals -125! 

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This is a free play on Under.

Dallas scored just 95 points on 39 percent shooting in Game 1. It should come as no surprise, as Oklahoma City has held seven of their last eight opponents to fewer than 100 points, and opponents have averaged less than 92 points during that span. Oklahoma City made over 46 percent of their three-point attempts in Game 1, and we might expect some regression. The total for tonight's game his higher than it was in Game 1, and I think we will see another low score.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Free Play on Dallas- The Colorado Avalanche came back from a big deficit to win game one in Dallas. It would be easy to overreact to that comeback and declare Colorado as the better team. Colorado might win this series, but I expect it to be a major battle. Dallas knows the importance of this game, and they have to be a little embarrassed about the way they lost game one at home.

Colorado was 33-9 at home this year and only 22-17 on the road. The Stars were 28-13 at home. I like Dallas to bounce back.

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Thursday’s FREE WINNER: Cleveland Cavaliers.

Game 567.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, barring a major injury, a world catastrophe, or a miracle, I just don't think any of us feel Cleveland stands a chance against Boston in this series. On paper, this is a team that has dropped four of the the last six straight up, while only covering one of those six outings. They were taken down by the Eastern Conference’s top-seeded, Boston opponent in Game 1 at the TD Garden, 120-95. Looking at the Celtics last eight games, in which they went 7-1 SU, with the one defeat coming at the hands of Miami in Game 2 of the opening round, they have absolutely shredded every opponent. It doesn't matter they're double-digit favorites, they are 5-1 ATS during that span laying 10 or more points. However, this is a boatload of points, sports fans, it really is. I mentioned at the top of this analysis the term "on paper". Basketball is not played on paper. Do I think the Celtics can beat this team by as many points as they want? Yes, I do! However, the Cavaliers were embarrassed in the series opener and must at least come back here and save a little face. Please understand Boston is not only a talented team, they are a smart, well-coached team. They know they don't need to blow out Cleveland here to get the win. They also know they can start pulling their starters when the game is in hand. I don't think this team needs to win by this much of a pointspread. I really do feel this value and taking the underdog here. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have been underrated for three straight seasons and aren't commanding the respect that a No. 1 seed deserves.  They have delivered four straight blowout victories in these playoffs including three by 21 points or more.  They beat the Mavericks 117-95 in Game 1.  Luka Doncic is battling a knee injury and is going through his worst stretch of the season shooting wise.  He is clearly nowhere near 100%.  The Mavericks are also without Maxi Kleber, their big man that does such a good job of spacing the floor for them.  They are much easier to guard without Kleber, and the Thunder have the length defensively to give the Mavericks a lot of trouble.  They have held seven of their last eight opponents to 95 points or fewer.  Give me the Thunder.

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Jack's Free Pick Thursday: St. Louis Cardinals -129

The St. Louis Cardinals will be highly motivated for a victory off four consecutive losses.  They have the rest advantage over the Milwaukee Brewers after having yesterday off, while the Brewers completed their three-game series with the Royals.  All three games were decided by two runs or fewer so their bullpen is pretty taxed.

The Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Sonny Gray.  The Twins are regretting letting him go at this point.  Gray is 4-1 with a 0.89 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing just 3 earned runs and one homer in 30 1/3 innings with 38 K's.  Gray held the Brewers to 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings with 12 K's back on April 21st.

I'll gladly fade Tobias Myers, who is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in three starts for the Brewers this season.  Myers has already allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 innings in his three starts.

The Cardinals are 225-161 in their last 386 games off three or more consecutive losses.  They also want revenge after being swept by the Brewers in their first series this season.  Milwaukee is just 1-4 in its last five games overall with the one victory being a 9th inning comeback after being down two runs.  Bet the Cardinals Thursday.

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Thursday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Boston at 7 pm et on Thursday.

Game 1 of this series was played at a considerably faster pace than I expected but that contest still only went 'over' the total by a handful of points. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair in Game 2 on Thursday. Cleveland got out of its element, hoisting up 90 field goal attempts, connecting on only 37 of them. We've seen an alarming trend emerge as the Cavaliers have knocked down 38 or fewer field goals in seven of their last eight games. On the flip side, the Celtics have now held six straight opponents to 38 or fewer made field goals. Note that the 'under' remains 41-29 in the Cavs last 70 games as a road underdog including a 14-10 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 47-31 in their last 78 contests when seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored 110 points or more, as is the case here, including a 16-9 record this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 25-22 in the Celtics last 47 games following consecutive home wins including an 11-8 mark this season. Finally, the 'under' is 21-9 in Boston's last 30 contests after posting four straight double-digit victories, which is the situation here. Take the under.

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Mavericks/Thunder OVER 218

The Key: It took a miracle to keep Game 1 under the total.  The Mavericks pulled their starters with 5 minutes left of a blowout loss and scoring died after it was on pace to get over the 218-point total.  The Mavericks scored just 16 points in the 4th and it finished with 212 combined points.  Game 2 should be much more competitive and higher scoring.  The Mavericks and Thunder have combined for at least 221 points in 8 of their last 9 matchups.  Take the OVER.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cardinals

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Thursday 5-9-24

UNDER 8 St Louis/Milwaukee

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MLB Free Pick - Houston at NYY

Ronel Blanco (3-0, 2.09 ERA), who has emerged as Houston's ace after entering the season as the fifth starter, attempts to produce another quality start when he faces the Yankees for the first time on Thursday. The Astros are 5-1 in his starts. Blanco got a no-decision Friday against the Seattle Mariners when he allowed three runs on five hits in six innings. Marcus Stroman (2-1, 3.41 ERA) hopes to find better command of the strike zone against the Astros. Stroman issued five walks for the second straight outing on Friday. He wound up with a no-decision after allowing one run on three hits in 5 1/3 innings in a game the Yankees won in the ninth inning against Detroit.

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Chip’s FREE NBA Playoff Best Bet

Cleveland at Boston 7:00 ET

Cavaliers/Celtics- UNDER- The top-seeded Celtics pulled away in the second half of Game 1 to earn a 120-95 victory on Tuesday. The fourth-seeded Cavaliers have failed to score 100 points in six of their eight playoff games. Cleveland was held to 15 points in the second quarter and trailed 59-49 at halftime. Boston led by 15 points after three quarters and opened the fourth on a 10-2 run. The series shifts to Cleveland for Game 3 (Saturday) and Game 4 (Monday). The Celtics won two of their three games against the Cavaliers during the regular season, but Cleveland won the only game it played at home. Play UNDER!